Commercial space age – coverage for satellites on collision course?

Welcome to the commercial space age, where private firms build and operate rockets, host myriads of satellites and take people up to space for fun. With ever-more crowded orbits and debris in largely unregulated spheres, outer space hosts plenty of risks, opportunities and unknowns for insurers.

At the end of last year, China informed the UN office for Outer Space Affairs that for a second time, its space station had to conduct evasive manoeuvres to avoid collisions with Starlink satellites. The incident highlights that private companies like SpaceX – which launched Starlink – run space programmes and have joined national players in the space race. With dense satellite coverage, Starlink and competitors aim to provide high-speed broadband to even the remotest places on Earth.

National space organisations (eg, NASA) are eager to partner with new commercial players, and bodies like the European Commission advocate “space for everyone”. This underlines the opportunities offered by space exploration, both commercial and public-sector sponsored.1

Ample space for growth

It is estimated that the commercial space industry will be worth USD 1 trillion by 2040, up from USD 350 billion currently.2Activities that will emerge and intensify range from the private launch of rockets for tourism and commercial payloads, to space stations and space mining. Most importantly, commercial interest is focused on satellite systems enabling ever more data services on Earth. This includes broader internet access and data services, such as navigation and climate change and weather monitoring.

Effective regulation is a balancing act

Increasingly, innovative technologies are born of private commercial activities, in addition to those from traditional government-funded missions. But for innovation to happen effectively, and to safeguard the economic benefits from space, there needs to be effective national and international regulation.3 International collaborative efforts are needed to mitigate increasing orbital debris, encourage active debris removal and the timely disposal of end-ofmission spacecraft, and to find methods and technologies to removing defunct spacecraft.4

With more parties and objects roaming the orbit, the risk of collision of space infrastructure and debris increases, and this in a largely unregulated sector.5Binding international regulations to steer or restrict space traffic, that would oblige originators of debris to “clean up” or be held liable for damage, do not yet exist.

Insurers to step up?

Traditionally, insurers have offered third-party liability insurance to commercial space operators for damage to satellites, rockets and unmanned spaceflights. So far, appetite to offer liability cover for private space passengers is minimal. That could change. Soon, there could be new policies that insure for bodily injury for space travellers, flight delay, and directors and officers’ (D&O) covers for the management of space operating companies. Such policies will need to be available on the market before space travel can transform into a fully-functioning tourism offering. Internationally-binding regulations to order space traffic, rights and duties could boost the currently limited appetite of insurers to provide L&H, liability or D&O covers in the context of space tourism and other space activity.

Further Information

References

1 “Council stresses the importance of participation of all in the space sector,” Council of the EU, Press release, 26 November 2021.

2 “Investing in Space Exploration,” Morgan Stanley, 2020.

3 With growing human population in space, also criminal justice may become a regulatory challenge. In 2020, a US astronaut committed the allegedly first crime while physically being in Space: “NASA Astronaut Anne McClain Accused by Spouse of Crime in Space,” The New York Times, 23 August 2019.

4 For a discussion of insurance challenges, scenarios and legal questions in in the context of growing space debris risk see “New space, new dimensions, new challenges: How satellite constellations impact space risk,” Swiss Re Corporate Solutions, 2018.

5 “The Commercial Space Age Is Here,” Harvard Business Review, 12 February 2021.

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